At third overall, the Vancouver Canucks hold the first real inflection point of the 2026 NHL Draft after the Toronto Maple Leafs and San Jose Sharks fill the top two spots.

Canucks Hold the Draft Open
The Toronto Maple Leafs are expected to select Gavin McKenna first overall while the San Jose Sharks’ acquisition of William Eklund from Ottawa raises the probability they take Ivar Stenberg second overall. This sequence leaves the Canucks with the first meaningful decision of the evening.
Caleb Malhotra, son of Vancouver’s new head coach, and defender Chase Reid both appear in multiple pre-draft projections for the third slot. If Stenberg drops, the Canucks must weigh best-player-available against positional need.
The Canucks could instead select Alberts Smits or Viggo Bjorck, creating immediate separation from standard mock-draft boards. Such a deviation would immediately alter the perceived value of the remaining top-10 prospects.
A trade-down scenario also exists if another club offers future assets to jump into the top three. Any movement here directly affects how many first-round picks the Blues can realistically exercise later in the round.
Center Scarcity Shapes Early Selections
Only three centers—Viggo Bjorck, Caleb Malhotra and Tynan Lawrence—form the clear top tier at the position. After these three the depth drops sharply, with Maddox Dagenais and Oliver Suvanto carrying additional questions about role and skating.
Bjorck, listed at 5-foot-9, played in Djurgarden’s top six and served as Sweden’s top-line center at the World Championship. His tools and hockey sense elevate him despite size concerns that have historically depressed center selections.
The limited supply of high-end pivots creates a causal incentive for teams to reach in the middle of the first round. Players such as Ilia Morozov and Jack Hextall could therefore slide into the teens earlier than their overall rankings suggest.
Defense, by contrast, offers greater depth later in the round, giving teams flexibility to wait rather than force a center selection. This imbalance amplifies the importance of the Canucks’ choice at third overall.
Blues and Senators Add Volatility
The St. Louis Blues control four first-round selections at 11th, 15th, 16th and 29th overall. With three picks inside the top half of the round, they possess both the ammunition to package upward and the option to add immediate NHL-ready talent under age 24.
The Ottawa Senators, after trading Brady Tkachuk and acquiring Eklund, retain two first-round picks and have signaled no intention of rebuilding. Their willingness to stay aggressive compresses the window for mid-round trades involving the Blues’ assets.
Any Canucks trade-down would likely involve one of these clubs, further concentrating talent and accelerating the run on centers once the top three selections are complete.
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Par Mike Jonderson
Mike Jonderson is a passionate hockey analyst and expert in advanced NHL statistics. A former college player and mathematics graduate, he combines his understanding of the game with technical expertise to develop innovative predictive models and contribute to the evolution of modern hockey analytics.