Connor Bedard enters the 2026 offseason as a restricted free agent with immense leverage for the Chicago Blackhawks. After three NHL seasons marked by 30 goals in the most recent campaign despite a shoulder injury, Bedard has boosted attendance, jersey sales, and franchise hope.[1][2] The Blackhawks aim for an eight-year extension to lock in their cornerstone player long-term. Meanwhile, rumblings link the Ottawa Senators to goaltender Stuart Skinner as a potential tandem partner for Linus Ullmark.
GM Kyle Davidson prioritizes flexibility amid a rebuild stocked with prospects. Bedard remains open-minded, stating, “I’m very open to however they see it and what they have to say.”[1]

Ottawa Senators show interest in Stuart Skinner
Speculation swirls around the Ottawa Senators pursuing Pittsburgh Penguins pending UFA goaltender Stuart Skinner. Jim Matheson of the Edmonton Sun notes Senators GM Steve Staios, formerly with the Oilers, knows Skinner’s game well.[3] Signing Skinner could cost around $3.25 million annually, pairing him with Linus Ullmark for a tandem totaling $11.5 million against the cap.
Skinner, recently with Edmonton before a move to Pittsburgh, has shown reliability as a starter. His calm presence under pressure appeals to Ottawa’s young core seeking stability in net. The Senators have struggled with goaltending consistency, making this a logical fit.
Staios’ familiarity could smooth negotiations. Recent reports highlight Ottawa as a top target for Skinner in free agency. This move would bolster their playoff push.
For more on Ottawa’s goaltending needs, check ex-Oilers goalie Skinner linked to Senators.[4]
The Senators’ cap space allows room for this investment without major sacrifices.
Connor Bedard’s leverage in extension talks
Bedard transformed the Blackhawks, contributing to or assisting on 30% of team goals over three seasons. As the last chance for an eight-year deal under current CBA rules, Chicago pushes for maximum term.[1] Bedard holds the cards, with GM Davidson unlikely to say no to his demands.
Projections vary, but AFP Analytics sees $13.2 million AAV over eight years, while Dom Luszczyszyn models $13-14 million. Bedard could seek 12-15% of the cap, akin to past stars.
Chairman Danny Wirtz affirms, “Our intention is to absolutely get him signed and to have him be a Blackhawk for a long time.” Bedard’s camp downplays specifics, focusing on team fit.
The Blackhawks’ cap floor strategy involves LTIR contracts, giving room even for a $20 million short-term deal. Long-term commitment aligns with their rebuild timeline.
Key comparable contracts for Bedard
Young stars set the market for Bedard’s extension:
- Logan Cooley: Eight years, $10 million AAV with Utah (signed October 2025).[5]
- Kirill Kaprizov: $17 million AAV, league-high next season.
- Auston Matthews: 14.27% then 15.06% of cap on extensions post-ELC.
- Upcoming: Leo Carlsson, Adam Fantilli, Macklin Celebrini.
Cooley’s deal mirrors Bedard’s trajectory after year two. Carlsson and Fantilli negotiations could influence, but Bedard’s elite production elevates him.
Breaking down Bedard’s options: bridge vs. long-term explores five-year bridge at lower AAV versus eight-year security.[6]
These comps suggest $13-15 million as baseline, potentially higher.
Bedard’s injury dip slightly lowered models, but his upside remains unmatched.
Blackhawks balance cap and prospect pipeline
Chicago’s cap situation favors Bedard despite rebuild costs. Overpaid veterans and LTIR help hit the floor, leaving headroom for stars.[1] Upcoming extensions for Kevin Korchinski, Sam Rinzel, Artyom Levshunov, and Anton Frondell loom.
Recent deals like Frankie Nazar (seven years, $6.6 million) and Alex Vlasic (six years, $4.6 million) set precedents. Davidson stresses, “There’s only so many dollars… make sure both sides feel like there’s common ground.”
As covered in re-signing Connor Bedard a top priority for Blackhawks, the extension anchors their aggressive offseason.
Prospects provide trade ammo, easing cap pressures short-term.
The Blackhawks boast 11 first-round picks, fueling contention timeline.
Bedard’s deal shapes roster construction for years.
The Senators-Skinner link underscores goaltending priorities league-wide, while Bedard’s negotiations define Blackhawks’ future. Expect an eight-year pact around $13-14 million AAV, securing Chicago’s star through prime years. This extension, paired with prospect influx, positions them for playoffs soon, regardless of short-term cap gymnastics. Fans await details as talks heat up this month.
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Par Mike Jonderson
Mike Jonderson is a passionate hockey analyst and expert in advanced NHL statistics. A former college player and mathematics graduate, he combines his understanding of the game with technical expertise to develop innovative predictive models and contribute to the evolution of modern hockey analytics.