Daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates: your November 17, 2025 edge sheet

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The 2025-26 season is only six weeks old, yet the injury report already reads like a playoff war-of-attrition. McAvoy’s facial fracture, Doughty’s shot-blocked foot and Demko’s lingering lower-body issue are forcing coaches to juggle pairs, shuffle third lines and, most importantly, tab backups who haven’t seen NHL rubber in a week. If you play fantasy, wager responsibly or simply want to sound smart before the 7 p.m. puck drops, today’s daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates are mandatory reading.

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Why daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates swing fantasy and betting markets

A last-second swap from a .920 starter to a cold backup can flip a money-line 30 cents and turn a 50-save ceiling into a 22-save coin-flip. Oddsmakers bake the confirmed goalie into the total, but the edge lives in the gap between “projected” and “confirmed.” That gap is usually 6–10 hours on a normal game day, and it is where daily grinders either pounce or get burned. Bookmarking a reliable tracker—like the one we run at NHL Insight—means you see the change before the market corrects.

November 17, 2025: confirmed starters and the story behind each crease

  1. Brandon Bussi gets the call for Carolina at Boston. It will be his first start since Nov. 9, when he stopped 34 of 38 in Toronto. Frederik Andersen (lower-body maintenance) is healthy enough to dress, but the Hurricanes are playing the long game on a back-to-back set later this week. Bussi’s .887 seasonal save percentage is ugly, yet the Bruins’ depleted blue line (McAvoy out, Lindholm still rusty) offers shootout upside for DFS players willing to stack Svechnikov-Aho-Jarvis.

  2. Jeremy Swayman answers for the Bruins. The coaching staff had hinted at a 50-50 split through Thanksgiving; Swayman’s last outing was a 29-save blank-period effort versus Montreal before McAvoy’s injury. With Korpisalo waiting in the wings, Swayman needs a statement game to keep the 1A tag. Expect Boston to tighten its neutral-zone stack, knowing Bussi can be had high-glove.

  3. Darcy Kuemper is in for Los Angeles at Washington. Kuemper has given up two or fewer in five of his last six, but the foot injury to Drew Doughty (week-to-week) downgrades the Kings’ possession metrics. The Capitals will counter with Charlie Lindgren, who owns a .930 at home and benefits from John Carlson’s possible return. If Carlson suits up, upgrade Washington’s power-play props; if not, fade the Over.

  4. Stuart Skinner draws the early game at Buffalo. Skinner’s seasonal .908 looks pedestrian until you notice the Oilers’ league-high 34.8 shots against per game. Translation: volume save props hit at a 64 % clip when he starts. The Sabres counter with Colten Ellis—not Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen—because Ellis posted a 42-save win in Detroit on Saturday. Coach Lindy Ruff called it “a reward start,” but the organization also wants to keep Luukkonen fresh for Toronto tomorrow. Fantasy takeaway: stack McDavid-Hyman against Ellis, who has never faced Edmonton.

  5. Kevin Lankinen is the surprise workhorse for Vancouver at Florida. Thatcher Demko’s setback means Lankinen is on pace for 65 starts. He’s responded with a .917 since Halloween, and the Panthers will be without Barkov and Tkachuk. Sergei Bobrovsky gets the Panthers’ crease; his home splits (2.05 GAA) remain elite, but the Cats are 1-4 in their last five because they can’t finish. Consider the Under 5.5 if the market lands there.

  6. Jakub Dobes makes his third consecutive start for Montreal at Columbus. Sam Montembeault (minor neck tweak) is close, yet the Canadiens like Dobes’ 6-foot-5 frame versus a heavy forecheck. The Jackets give Jet Greaves another look after Elvis Merzlikins coughed up four on 19 shots Saturday. Greaves’ AHL numbers (1.98 GAA) pop, but NHL shooters are finding his short-side leak; the Habs’ Caufield-Suzuki-Slafkovsky line is a mini-stack option in one-off DFS slates.

Key injury ripple effects hidden in today’s daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates

  • Charlie McAvoy could require facial surgery, so Boston promoted 21-year-old Jonathan Aspirot. The third pair is suddenly a 58 % expected-goals liability; bettors should target Carolina’s Ehlers-Stankoven-Blake trio for anytime props.
  • Drew Doughty’s absence vaults Brandt Clarke into the top four. Clarke’s offensive ceiling is fun for DFS, but his 42 % defensive-zone exit rate means quick-strike teams like Washington can create rebounds.
  • Kirby Dach’s 4-6 week foot fracture opens a second-line hole in Montreal. Joshua Roy was recalled and slid between Kapanen and Demidov—keep an eye on that unit’s preseason chemistry resurfacing.
  • Aleksander Barkov (knee) and Matthew Tkachuk (lower body) skated in red jerseys Monday morning. Florida’s scoring chance rate drops 18 % without them; the Under becomes even more attractive versus a Lankinen-led Vancouver squad that grinds cycles.

How to use daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates in one-off DFS builds

  1. Build backwards: lock the confirmed goalie with the softest matchup (today that’s Skinner vs. Ellis), then spend up for a power-play stack against the backup.
  2. Hunt mini-stacks from third lines promoted by injury—e.g., Roy-Kapanen-Demidov at sub-4 % ownership.
  3. Correlate defensemen who skate with the man advantage; Clarke (LAK) and Hutson (MTL) are minimum-price plugs with PP2 time.
  4. Use Vegas totals as a tie-breaker, not a bible. The market underrates backup goalies until 90 minutes before puck drop, so beat the closure by refreshing our live page every 10 minutes.

What the next 48 hours mean for the playoff race

November is when coaches start tracking “points pace” religiously. Carolina can hit 30 points with a win tonight; Boston would stay on 92-point pace with a regulation loss. In the West, Edmonton cannot fall 10 points below the wildcard cut line this early, so Skinner’s start is effectively a must-win. Every lineup tweak you see in our daily NHL projected lineups and starting goalies updates carries magnified weight because the loser-point cushion does not yet exist. Monitor tomorrow’s back-to-back goalies—Andersen, Luukkonen and Montembeault are all probable to draw—and pounce before sportsbooks repost overnight lines.

Stay fluid, stay informed, and let the last-minute scratches work for you, not against you.

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Par Mike Jonderson

Mike Jonderson is a passionate hockey analyst and expert in advanced NHL statistics. A former college player and mathematics graduate, he combines his understanding of the game with technical expertise to develop innovative predictive models and contribute to the evolution of modern hockey analytics.