NHL Goalies' Save Percentage Hits Three-Decade Low

The 2025-26 NHL season has brought unwelcome history for goaltenders. The league-wide save percentage has fallen below .900 for the first time in three decades, currently sitting at .896 and on pace to be the lowest since 1994. 1 2 This marks a significant shift in the sport’s most critical position, where stopping pucks once felt more predictable. Former goalie Brian Boucher used to track shots faced as a personal benchmark for a solid outing. Today, netminders hope the current generation avoids that mental crutch amid these challenging trends.

A combination of faster play, elite shooting talent and tactical changes has upended traditional expectations. Shooters are more selective, prioritizing quality over quantity. As Washington Capitals goalie Logan Thompson noted, “The players evolve and they get better. Their sticks get better. Their shots get harder.” 3

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Fewer shots, higher quality chances

Shots per game have dropped to 27.8, the lowest since the dead-puck era of the late 1990s and early 2000s. Back then, clutching and grabbing stifled offense, prompting major rule changes after the 2004-05 lockout. Those adjustments opened the game, but now teams average over six goals per game for the fourth straight season. 4

Dallas Stars netminder Jake Oettinger described the shift vividly: “Guys will have it in the slot and they’re passing it, where I feel like 10 years ago it was just pucks on net.” Players hunt for Grade-A opportunities rather than firing from afar. This selectivity means goalies face fewer but deadlier attempts, testing their reflexes like never before.

Retired goalie Martin Biron contrasted it with his era, when league averages peaked at .911. “A lot of it was straight on: a guy coming down the wing, taking a shot,” he said. Simpler angles made positioning straightforward. Today’s east-west puck movement demands constant lateral tracking.

Defensive sacrifices play a role too. Coaches accept risks for prime scoring chances. Oettinger added, “Now teams are more OK with giving up what they give up. That’s kind of just the style now.”

For detailed team shooting stats, check the NHL teams stats page.

Gambling scrutiny alters shot counts

Post-game reviews have intensified, often adjusting shot totals days later. This directly impacts save percentages. Oettinger and Stars backup Casey DeSmith have voiced frustration: “They just take shots away that are shots on goal. There are probably three a game.”

Sports betting legalization has fueled this precision. Wagers on shots prompt meticulous audits to protect bettors. Biron linked it directly: “All of that auditing that the league is doing with shots, and honestly it stems from gambling.”

NHL attributes changes to puck-tracking tech, providing sharper data for scorekeepers and operators. In-game calls get revisited, sometimes denying goalies credit for stops.

These tweaks add up over a season. Oettinger estimated it as “like having five more shutouts that they’re taking away” across 50 games.

Slimmer gear exposes new vulnerabilities

NHL reduced equipment sizes to boost scoring without compromising safety. Smaller pads and protectors create more net to target. Thompson appreciates tighter gear for mobility but notices the downside: “Sometimes, there might be a shot that it looks weak but it goes kind of through your knees and there’s really nothing else you can do.”

The game favors agile crease athletes over pure blockers. Thompson, who backed Jordan Binnington for Canada at the Olympics, emphasized: “I don’t think you can be a blocking-style goalie. You’ve got to be able to react and use your hands.”

Shooters exploit these gaps with precision. Formerly blocked by pant legs, pucks now sneak through.

This evolution aligns with overall speed increases. Goalies must anticipate dynamic plays.

Goalies adapting to east-west chaos

Biron urged netminders to evolve: “Shooters are getting good, and it’s time for goalies to adjust a little bit. It’s an east-west game, so goalies have to become much more conscious of the puck moving laterally.”

Standouts excel here. Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912), Buffalo’s Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910), Boston’s Jeremy Swayman (.906) and New York’s Ilya Sorokin (.906) lead with superior side-to-side quickness. 5

Logan Thompson’s .912 ranks high among workhorses with 50-plus starts. For full leaderboards, see Hockey-Reference’s 2025-26 goalie stats. 2

Here are key leaders (min. 30 games):

  • Andrei Vasilevskiy: .912
  • Logan Thompson: .912
  • Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen: .910
  • Jeremy Swayman: .906
  • Ilya Sorokin: .906

Their success highlights the premium on mobility.

Redefining what constitutes elite goaltending

Boucher wonders if .900—stopping nine of 10 shots—will reclaim benchmark status. In a recent Stars-Devils clash, Oettinger allowed four goals on eight shots amid a combined .803 night. Thompson contextualized: “You can say, ‘Oh the goaltending wasn’t good,’ but at the same time, I don’t really know many goalies who are going to be making those stops.”

Coaches have long used goalie specialists; now shooters get skill trainers too. Balance tilts toward offense.

As the season progresses, expect ongoing adaptation. Top teams lean on mobile netminders who thrive in chaos.

This dip signals hockey’s maturation. Success now means thriving amid elite competition, not dominating volume. Playoff implications loom large—what .900 SV% means for Cups remains the ultimate test.

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Par Mike Jonderson

Mike Jonderson is a passionate hockey analyst and expert in advanced NHL statistics. A former college player and mathematics graduate, he combines his understanding of the game with technical expertise to develop innovative predictive models and contribute to the evolution of modern hockey analytics.